The Brief, October 2017


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October 16, 2017


The Future of the Iran Nuclear Deal

Following the UN General Assembly, Iranian President Hassan Rouhani stated that Iran will continue development of new missiles, a move Johns Hopkins SAIS experts said could threaten to undercut the 2015 nuclear agreement.

Adjunct Professor of Middle East Studies Sanam Vakil told The New York Times that the Iranian president "seeks to gain support from Iranian hard-liners who have long been critical of the nuclear deal, and who have repeatedly accused him of being soft in international relations." Read more. She also told CNN that "Iran is trying to demonstrate they are the pragmatic rational actor here and maintain unity among the other signatories of the nuclear agreement, even if from the U.S. side it starts to unravel." Read more.

Dean Vali Nasr wrote in The Washington Post that U.S. President Donald Trump's plan to decertify the Iran nuclear deal is a risky gambit that will "undermine U.S. credibility and the international community's ability to manage further nuclear developments in Iran, North Korea and other places down the line for years." Read more.

Foreign Policy Institute Herter/Nitze Distinguished Scholar Antony Blinken told NPR's All Things Considered the Iran agreement reached under the Obama administration remains a good deal that "puts far into the future the prospect of Iran getting the material it would need for a nuclear weapon." Hear more.

Henry A. Kissinger Distinguished Professor of Global Affairs Hal Brands wrote in Bloomberg that U.S. President Trump’s plan to undermine the deal will "empower Iranian hard-liners, create another serious point of friction in the bilateral relationship, and potentially touch off a renewed proliferation crisis." Read more.

Distinguished Practitioner-in-Residence Adam J. Szubin wrote in The Washington Post that despite certain misgivings of the deal, the central elements are strong and must be upheld because "Iran and its proxies are threatening (U.S.) allies and interests across the Middle East, from Syria to Lebanon and Yemen to Iraq." Read more.

The Brief highlights Johns Hopkins SAIS expertise on current events and is produced monthly by the Office of Marketing, Communications, and Strategic Initiatives. Like The Brief? Share it on Facebook and Twitter, forward to a friend, or subscribe.