Megan GreeneDirector of Economic Research on Western Europe and the Eurozone, Roubini Global Economics, London, U.K.
Sarah Naimark Senior Associate, Oxford Analytica, Oxford, U.K.
Wolfango PiccoliDirector, London Office and Practice Head, Eurasia Group, London, U.K.
MODERATOR:
Erik JonesDirector of European Studies, Johns Hopkins University SAIS; Director of the Bologna Institute for Policy Research, Johns Hopkins University SAIS Bologna Center, Italy
Part of the Risk Seminar Series and the Global Risk Management Course, supported by Advisory Council Member Robert S. SingerThe purpose of this roundtable is to survey how analysts view both risks and opportunities in a complex global environment. The participants represent the top political risk consultancies – the Eurasia Group (
www.eurasiagroup.net), Oxford Analytica (
www.oxan.com) and Roubini Global Economics (
http://www.roubini.com). The discussion will consider not only what they believe to be the principal sources of risk and opportunity looking ahead to 2013, but also how they inform that belief and what they propose clients should do as a consequence.
MEGAN GREENE
Megan Greene is director of economic research on Western Europe and the Eurozone at Roubini Global Economics. Megan’s research specializations include the eurozone debt crisis, the ECB, Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Spain, Italy and Germany. She regularly appears in broadcast and print media. From 2007-11, she worked as an economist at the Economist Intelligence Unit, serving as the company’s euro-crisis expert and focusing on developments in the PIIGS and Germany, as well as at the EU-level. Prior to working as an economist, Megan was a political risk consultant at Oxford Analytica, an investment banking analyst at JP Morgan Chase and an adviser to the Liechtenstein royal family on eradicating money laundering from the principality’s financial services industry. She holds a master’s degree from Nuffield College, the University of Oxford, and received a B.A. in political economy from Princeton University.
SARAH NAIMARK
Sarah Naimark joined the Oxford Analytica in 2008 and works mainly with clients in the mining and metals sectors, and on healthcare innovation and global health challenges.
Recent engagements include a series of workshops on identifying and mitigating risks in selected resource-rich countries, and development of an early warning service that tracks emerging issues in the mining sector. She has produced quarterly mining outlooks for the risk department of a leading financial institution. Sarah Naimark also works on projects focused on Russia and Eastern Europe, including assessing operational risks across Russian regions and analysing service industry markets in Russia and Eastern Europe. In addition, Naimark coordinates our ongoing contribution to GE Healthcare’s healthymagination initiative, working closely with the client to support its strategic goals of improving the accessibility and quality of healthcare.
Previously, Naimark worked for an NGO in the Balkans and has experience in journalism and marketing. She holds an M.A. in International Relations from the Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies and a B.A. in Political Science and Italian Language from Stanford University.
WOLFANGO PICCOLI
Wolfango Piccoli is the director of the London office of Eurasia Group and a director in the Europe practice. He leads the team covering Turkey, has primary responsibility for the coverage of Greece, Ireland and the U.K., and contributes to the practice's risk analysis of other EU countries.
Piccoli co-authored a book entitled
Turkey at the Crossroads, which was later translated and published in Turkish. Piccoli received his B.A. from the University of Bologna and his Ph.D. from the University of Wales, Aberystwyth. He also spent several years living and studying in Turkey, and speaks Italian and Turkish.
Prior to joining Eurasia Group, Piccoli was an assistant professor in the department of international politics at the University of Wales, Aberystwyth, where he taught courses on international security and intelligence. Previously, he was an Economic and Social Research Council post-doctoral fellow at the same university.
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