The Brief, November 2016


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November 15, 2016
How Will A Trump Presidency Shape U.S. Policies?

Experts weighed in on the impact of the U.S. presidential election on the global economy, diplomacy, and the U.S. political system, following Donald Trump's victory.

Distinguished Practitioner-in-Residence John McLaughlin told Politico ahead of the election that a Trump victory would test if the U.S. "has a good self-correcting mechanism and can provide checks and balances for any kind of behavior… It would test the fabric of the United States." Read more

Strategic Studies Program Director Eliot Cohen wrote in The American Interest that Trump might not be as bad a leader as believed because, "He does not have strong principles about much, which means he can shift. He is clearly willing to delegate legislation to Paul Ryan and Mitch McConnell. And even abroad, his instincts incline him to increase U.S. strength — and to push back even against Russia if, as will surely happen, Putin double-crosses him." Read more

As Trump begins to fill Cabinet positions to shape U.S. foreign policy and considers contenders, Associate Director of American Foreign Policy Charles Stevenson told Voice of America, "I don't think Trump would play identity politics the way most Democrats would, where they want to be sure that the people in the Cabinet, the people around them, reflect the diversity of America." Read more

Director of European and Eurasian Studies Erik Jones told Knowledge@ Wharton in election predictions that "a Trump victory would put a lot of volatility in the markets because our ability to anticipate what would be the safe-haven asset is a little bit more limited. Normally you would want to go in the U.S. Treasury instruments — or Treasury-backed instruments — but given what Trump has said about his attitude toward debt, that becomes a little bit more of a questionable prospect." Hear more

Associate Director of China Studies and Foreign Policy Institute Director Carla Freeman told CCTV that a Trump win presents a blank slate for U.S.-China relations, but will likely change current relations given "signals that he is going to make a significant break from the past." Freeman said the U.S. will subsequently find itself facing questions from its partners and allies in the region. "It's going to be a bumpy transition, but we have high stakes in the region." Watch more

Though U.S.-Canada relations have been strained by delayed approvals of Keystone XL, Center for Canadian Studies Director Christopher Sands told CBC News he expects the pipeline to receive backing, especially if it gives Trump "the ability to say 'I'm doing something for America' and not just offering concessions to a foreign country." Read more

The Brief highlights Johns Hopkins SAIS expertise on current events and is produced monthly by the Office of Marketing, Communications, and Strategic Initiatives. Like The Brief? Share it on Facebook and Twitter, forward to a friend, or subscribe