The Brief, May 2017


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May 8, 2017 
War with North Korea?

As tensions rise over North Korea’s nuclear and missile programs, Johns Hopkins SAIS experts weighed in on how the U.S. and its allies should respond in diffusing threats of an imminent war.

Distinguished Practitioner-in-Residence John McLaughlin told MSNBC that it is almost certain that U.S. President Donald Trump will have to "deal with something that no previous president has had to deal with and that is an inter-continental ballistic missile in the hands of a North Korean leader, who in this case, is a much less stable leader than his predecessor." Watch more

Foreign Policy Institute Herter/Nitze Distinguished Scholar Antony Blinken told CNN the U.S. should work with China to pressure North Korea to deescalate its nuclear program and "as we’re trying to do that, we have to take steps to protect ourselves and our allies: more missile defense, a greater military presence in the region, and probably more sanctions."  Watch more

U.S.-Korea Institute Assistant Director Jenny Town told Business Insider that the U.S. may be overestimating influence from neighbors since "China and North Korea relations have not been great to begin with," and "North Korea has progressed further than what they’re willing to accept." Read more

Director of the Foreign Policy Institute and Associate Director of China Studies Carla Freeman told Quartz that China has implemented sanctions against its neighbor in a way that "still allows the North Korean regime to sustain itself" and "North Korea has developed a whole black-market economy that helps keep it going." Read more

U.S.-Korea Institute Senior Fellow Joel Wit wrote in The New York Times that the U.S. is making a big mistake with the threat of a military strike and should instead be quietly talking to the North Koreans, emphasizing "Washington’s resolve to defend American interests and making clear that the United States does not have hostile intentions toward North Korea." Read more

In assessing the economic impact of a potential Korean War, U.S.-Korea Institute Visiting Scholar Dennis Halpin told Bloomberg that "cargo vessels would be wary about sailing if there were missiles flying" over the peninsula and "the Pacific would be shut down as a highway for global trade." Read more

The Brief highlights Johns Hopkins SAIS expertise on current events and is produced monthly by the Office of Marketing, Communications, and Strategic Initiatives. Like The Brief? Share it on Facebook and Twitter, forward to a friend, or subscribe